Entries by David Roberts

Tutor/Senior Tutor in Statistics@University of Waikato

University of Waikato, Hamilton, New ZealandDepartment of Mathematics Closing date: 17 September 2021 Ko wai mātou? – Who are we?  The Department of Mathematics within the School of Computing and Mathematics Sciences, offers a broad programme in pure, applied, and computational mathematics which gives… more

Mathematical models to support Victoria’s COVID-19 response: a blunt instrument to a complex problem

Throughout Victoria’s COVID-19 response, a suite of mathematical and statistical models have been used to understand the spread and subsequent control of the pandemic. High-profile mathematical outputs, such as case forecasts, give a good picture of the general epidemic activity in a given region. However, when case numbers are small, forecasts can be very sensitive. Moreso, when there is only a handful of cases, more detailed factors such as geographic distribution of cases, or at-risk industries, are possibly more informative.